Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.014433 0.016182 0.017950 0.019864 0.021873 0.023914 0.026140
2025-04-27 0.010932 0.013616 0.016457 0.019658 0.023137 0.026779 0.030857
2025-05-04 0.008498 0.011664 0.015156 0.019218 0.023750 0.028598 0.034127
2025-05-11 0.007052 0.010567 0.014583 0.019376 0.024832 0.030760 0.037608
2025-05-18 0.005760 0.009471 0.013864 0.019239 0.025471 0.032336 0.040353
2025-05-25 0.004562 0.008337 0.012984 0.018813 0.025693 0.033371 0.042428
2025-06-01 0.003671 0.007481 0.012354 0.018611 0.026111 0.034575 0.044643
2025-06-08 0.002868 0.006634 0.011659 0.018267 0.026312 0.035489 0.046492
2025-06-15 0.002328 0.006085 0.011296 0.018288 0.026912 0.036832 0.048803
2025-06-22 0.001745 0.005376 0.010662 0.017926 0.027016 0.037573 0.050399
2025-06-29 0.001193 0.004598 0.009865 0.017308 0.026772 0.037875 0.051463
2025-07-06 0.000703 0.003777 0.008931 0.016454 0.026195 0.037753 0.052006
2025-07-13 0.000521 0.003554 0.008905 0.016865 0.027274 0.039699 0.055084
2025-07-20 0.000271 0.003050 0.008416 0.016644 0.027572 0.040735 0.057136
2025-07-27 0.000090 0.002521 0.007821 0.016236 0.027603 0.041431 0.058771
2025-08-03 0.000025 0.002260 0.007635 0.016381 0.028329 0.042957 0.061378
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001927 0.007278 0.016255 0.028686 0.044019 0.063421
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001543 0.006763 0.015863 0.028671 0.044607 0.064883
2025-08-24 NaN 0.001266 0.006404 0.015677 0.028910 0.045495 0.066694
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000988 0.005979 0.015361 0.028956 0.046130 0.068190
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000826 0.005779 0.015380 0.029445 0.047312 0.070338
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000607 0.005376 0.015047 0.029438 0.047857 0.071706
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000383 0.004851 0.014481 0.029085 0.047950 0.072510